Monday, November 3, 2008

Predicting the Presidential Election

Prediction markets at intrade currently rate Obama's chance of winning the election just under 90%.

1 comment:

  1. I hate it when people site prediction market payoff amounts in percentage terms. This makes no sense. There is not a 6% change that Steve Ballmer is going to be the next Treasury Secretary just because some idiot bid $6 on a $100 contract...

    Just my two cents...