Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Latest presidential futures prices

Big movement from last week, from intrade.com:

At intrade.com, one can buy and sell contracts that payoff $1 if a candidate receives the nomination. If the markets are "efficient," then the prices reflect the probability that the candidate will win.

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION PRICES

2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN
John McCain to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
38.0
2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
28.0
2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE
Mike Huckabee to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
14.5
2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
12.0
2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL
Ron Paul to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
3.1
2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
2.0

DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION PRICES
2008DEM.NOM.OBAMA
Barack Obama to be Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
74.0
2008DEM.NOM.CLINTON
Hillary Clinton to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
24.0
2008DEM.NOM.EDWARDS
John Edwards to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
2.0

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