Friday, January 31, 2025

Airline Yield Management

 It had been hard to manage an airline in the Covid-19 and early post-Covid-19 era. As Alison Sider
 at the WSJ
reports:

Airfares plunged in the early months of the Covid-19 pandemic, only to soar in 2022, when airlines couldn’t add flights quickly enough to keep up with the frenzied urge to travel. Then prices tumbled when airlines expanded service and flooded into popular routes. Now airlines are constraining supply and lifting prices. 

Now it looks like things have settled back into a yield management problem. The quantity demanded has been  rising for the past three years, but the seems to have plateaued.

Airline price increases have begun to outpace inflation.

This suggests that demand has shifted out enough that it is constrained by airline capacity. Airline load factors have rebounded to pre-Covid-19 levels. At these higher prices, Airlines would like to sell more seats, but there are no more seats, at least in the short-run.

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