Saturday, December 7, 2024

Russian ruble is falling, but no one is buying its exports

 From MarginalRevolution:

...I also strongly disagree with those who say that cheaper ruble is “good” for exporters and the budget. Exporters have yet to make good use of devaluing ruble – which they can’t do, because Russia is under all sorts of embargoes, and China and other Global South countries are not opening their markets to most Russian goods.
...China is only buying our most basic commodities at heavy discounts, while keeping its market closed for other Russian goods. There’s no investment or technology coming into Russia from China and other Global South countries. Everything is dependent on state subsidies – but the government’s financial reserves are running thin.
Along with their low fertility rate, 1.52 (source), and it appears that Russia's future prospects are dim.

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