Thursday, July 16, 2020

What correlates with COVID deaths rates?

From interview based on paper by Prof. Christopher Knittel:
  • Race was a central factor. ... For example, if you live in a county in which African Americans make up 87% of the population (which is the highest share we found), the COVID-19 mortality rate is 10 times higher than a county with no African Americans (a 0% share).
  • Commuting in any form: Our analysis found that a 20.6% increase in public transportation use was linked to a nearly tenfold increase in the mortality rate during this pandemic.
  • Working from home:  We also find that a higher share of people not working, and thus not commuting either because they are elderly, children or unemployed, is correlated with higher death rates.
  • Counties with higher home values, higher summer temperatures, and lower winter temperatures have higher death rates
  • ...death rates in the Northeast are substantially higher compared to other states
  • Death rates are also statistically significantly higher in Michigan, Louisiana, Iowa, Indiana, and Colorado. California's death rate is the lowest across all states.
  • NO correlation between COVID deaths and: pollution, death rates, obesity rates, ICU beds, or poverty rates.

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