Friday, September 14, 2007

Latest "prices" of political futures contracts

Latest prices (in cents) from www.intrade.com for contracts that pay off $1 if the event occurs.
  • 35.9 Rudy Giuliani to be the Republican Nominee in 2008
  • 24.1 Fred Thompson to be the Republican Nominee in 2008
  • 22.3 Mitt Romney to be the Republican Nominee in 2008
  • 4.8 John McCain to be the Republican Nominee in 2008

  • 67.9 Hillary Clinton to be the Democratic Nominee in 2008
  • 16.3 Barack Obama to be Democratic Nominee in 2008
  • 7.6 John Edwards to be the Democratic Nominee in 2008
  • 7.2 Al Gore to be the Democratic Nominee in 2008

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