Friday, May 29, 2026

(Lack of) Economies of Scale in Home Building

Brian Potter at Construction Physics takes a deep dive into economies of scale in construction. There are enough homes being built to observe economies of scale ... if they existed. But even manufactured homes don't seem to exhibit economies of scale. He marshals a lot of evidence to document where costs are incurred and how these compare to other industries. The lack of scale economies imply that the industry is rather unconcentrated. There are thousands of home builders with the five largest nationally having less than 25% of the market.

He concludes by trying to answer why there appears to be almost no economies of scale. One answer seems to be that that materials and labor home building costs represent 97% of costs with equipment costs being only 3%. Auto manufacturing, in contrast, is extremely capital intensive and hence firms are large. Home construction Fixed Costs (FC) are just not big enough for declining Average Fixed Costs (AFC) with scale to be too important. In contrast, high rise construction might require high cost excavators, cranes, pavers, pile drivers, etc. driving up the equipment cost share. Consequently, the five largest contractors for these projects have closer to 45% market share. The cost structure determines the market structure.

Hat tip: Marginal Revolution 

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