Monday, March 17, 2025

The Grumpy Economist on Foreign aid: "send a person a fish every day, and he forgets how to fish."

John Cochrane recommends the Economist article Aid cannot make poor countries rich.


From 2004 to 2014, foreign aid increased by 75%, but it didn't help:
  • 2004, William Easterly: aid was just as likely to shrink the world’s poorest economies as to help them grow. 
  • 2005, World Bank: grants and loans did not move the needle on growth. 
  • 2019, IMF reached a similar conclusion. 
  • 2025, Centre for Global Development, “There is no country that has really grown from aid.”
In what seems like evidence-based decision-making by the donors:
  • President Trump has stopped much of US foreign aid.
  • Sir Keir Starmer chopped Britain’s aid budget from 0.5% to 0.3% of GDP.
  • France, the most generous Western donor after America, will this year reduce aid by 35%.
  • Germany is considering cuts, too.

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