Friday, April 19, 2024

Places like Illinois "are screwed"

The Economist: Declining fertility and declining immigration lead to:
  • DEATH SPIRALS: ... the biggest problem is that, once a place starts shrinking, ... there is far more housing available than people to fill it, ... landlords and even homeowners stop maintaining their properties, ... blight spreads .. 
  • TAXES PAID BY FEWER PEOPLE: as cities lose population, the cost of providing public services [mostly public pensions] tends to stay about the same. ... the result is that the remaining taxpayers must pay more simply to support the same services. 
  • STATE CANNOT PAY ITS PENSIONS: Across Illinois the total burden of unfunded state and local pension liabilities is estimated to be around $210bn, or roughly four times the state’s entire annual budget.
  • IL, NJ, WV, have been shrinking for awhile
  • In 2021, 14 more states shrank.

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