![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXDVTSzknAEXks2TUoddHN6H5AO2OxOR-FTnzAxdHduqTlIc3rnAyUIa4HYlXSMtY0lxLwaXf7bkVO9unOVyfRT-pLIBEWl8ArSkcXMYFIHLwydrXcXO8m0UbB59OLV-jQ9hvNImB4Z0KO/s400/Untitled-5.jpg)
Our valuaton model for stocks is dependent on a historical relationship between the Earnings price ratio (what you "earn" by holding stocks) and the 10 year treasury bond (what you earn by holding bonds).
Historical Model: 10 yr bond - Earnings/Price ratio = 1.75%
Current relationship: 3.77% - 4.23% = -0.46%.
The last time that this relationship was negative for this long was before Reagan.
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