Monday, November 3, 2008

Predicting the Presidential Election

Prediction markets at intrade currently rate Obama's chance of winning the election just under 90%.

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1 comment:

  1. AnonymousNovember 8, 2008 at 3:46 PM

    I hate it when people site prediction market payoff amounts in percentage terms. This makes no sense. There is not a 6% change that Steve Ballmer is going to be the next Treasury Secretary just because some idiot bid $6 on a $100 contract...

    Just my two cents...

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