Friday, March 7, 2025

Tariffs and May Not Boost Domestic Investment

Alcoa would seem to benefit from an increase in demand for domestically produced aluminum from the imposition of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum. All they have to do is ramp up existing US capacity. This quote from Alcoa CEO William Oplinger.in the WSJ suggests maybe not.

“We make decisions around aluminum production that have a horizon of 20 to 40 years,” he said. “We would not be making an investment in the United States based on a tariff structure that could be in place for a much shorter period of time.”

Who knows what tariffs would be under the next administration. Instead, he is bracing for a loss in 100,000 U.S. aluminum industry jobs due to tariffs targeting the metal. He is not explicit, but this would be the case if customers plan to cut back purchases due to their reduce operations or their ability to find cheaper substitutes. 

Monday, March 3, 2025

Innovative Strategic Levers

Is narc'ing on your competition the prisoners' dilemma equilibrium?